Connect with us

Philadelphia Eagles

Carson Wentz Loves The First Quarter Of The Season

Avatar

Published

on

After peeling out to a hot start in his rookie campaign, Carson Wentz has shown once again he owns the first four weeks of the season.

If you remember correctly, the Eagles also started the 2016 season at 3-1. Though they limped into it, with a heartbreaking loss to the Lions in Week 4, Carson Wentz looked every bit of the franchise QB that was promised at the quarter pole. Through four games in 2016, Carson Wentz was 91/135 (67.4% completion) from 1007 yards, 7 TDs, and 1 INT.

Suffice to say, the Wentz Wagon was rolling out of the station.

As the season carried on, however, teams grew privy to Doug Pederson’s offensive scheme and Carson Wentz’s strengths. They shortened the field and dared him to throw it deep. They sent plenty of pressure, challenging the Philadelphia WRs to win 1-on-1 match-ups. Stud RT Lane Johnson also took a 10-game hiatus.

Extrapolating those first quarter numbers looked mighty promising, sure–but the reality wasn’t nearly as pretty. Here’s Carson Wentz’s Weeks 5-16 of 2016, projected and actual:

Comp Att Comp % Yds TD INT QBR
Projected 273 405 67.4 3021 21 3 103.5
Actual 288 472 61.02 2775 9 13 72.3

We already touched on the factors that likely contributed to this regression. And, fortunately, those leaks seem to be plugged in 2017. The Alshon Jeffery addition bolsters the weak WR ranks, though the steps forward taken by Zach Ertz and Nelson Agholor cannot go understated. Carson Wentz has shown an improved ability to reach the intermediate level of the field. The offensive line has found its groove–and no suspensions loom.

Let’s call it what it is. It seems Carson has improved in Year 2, as we hoped/expected. Over his first four game of 2017, he’s posted similarly impressive numbers to the analogous stretch of his rookie season: 89/147, 60.54% completion, 1058 yards, 6 TDs, and 2 INTs. That lower completion percentage stands out, but it doesn’t worry me. He’s taking far more shots down the field (most of which, yes, are inaccurate), but the passing attack has far greater depth and dimension than it ever did last season.

So, let’s make the same mistake we did last year. Let’s check out what Carson’s numbers may look like over Weeks 5-16 of the 2017 season.

Comp Att Comp% Yds TD INT QBR
Projected 267 441 60.54 3175 18 6 90.5
Actual ? ? ? ? ? ? ?

I’d call Wentz ‘Mr. September,’ but this past game was on October 1st–welp. Either way, he’s 2 for 2 now on hot starts–the question to answer now is one of sustainability. Philadelphia sits in the early driver’s seat of the NFC East, but the back-half of their schedule is tough, and Washington and Dallas both foster healthy playoff hopes as well. The Eagles are aiming for a 17-, 18-, 19-game season–but they’ll only get there if Carson can keep these numbers up for 16 first.

Ben Solak has been a football fan and film junkie for all of his life, and has the pleasure of serving as a National Scout for NDT Scouting. He also covers the Philadelphia Eagles for Bleeding Green Nation and co-hosts the Locked On Eagles podcast. Ben takes many things far too seriously, including fishing, Captain America, grammar, and Game Of Thrones.

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Philadelphia Eagles

Matchups to watch in Cleveland

Louie DiBiase

Published

on

© Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

On today’s Locked On Eagles:

A look at the key matchups for Sunday’s matchup with the Cleveland Browns.

How will the Eagles defend the Nick Chubb-Kareem Hunt backfield?

Is this the game Doug Pederson and Carson Wentz finally get things right?

Continue Reading

Philadelphia Eagles

Wentz Wednesday: Week 11

Louie DiBiase

Published

on

Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

On today’s Locked On Eagles:

Carson Wentz went from looking like Jameis Winston all year to Sam Bradford on Sunday

Evaluating the inconsistencies in Wentz’s throwing mechanics that were apparent against New York

Wentz deserves blame without always steering the attention to Doug Pederson and Howie Roseman

Continue Reading

Philadelphia Eagles

Doug and Howie on the hot seat?

Louie DiBiase

Published

on

Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

On today’s Locked On Eagles:

Even in a first place position…..it is time to think big picture with the Eagles

Are Doug Pederson and Howie Roseman safe beyond 2020?

Should Jeffery Lurie continue to be patient or is a shake-up needed?

Continue Reading

Trending