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Enemy Evaluations: DEN QB Trevor Siemian

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Change is in the air in Denver and it all swirls around their egregious looking Quarterback situation.

After starting 2017 with two straight wins, 6 touchdowns, 2 interceptions, and a completion percentage north of 60%, Denver Broncos QB Trevor Siemian experienced a sharp decline. In the last 5 games the Broncos are 1-4, and Siemian has thrown for only 3 touchdowns while tossing 6 interceptions. Now the rumors are that he may be supplanted as the starter for their game against the Philadelphia Eagles by Brock Osweiler, which is a rough sentence to write.

In the summer I participated in the Scouting Academy Prove It Competition, and I’ve previously shared my Ronald Darby scouting report for that contest. For the finals, which was judged by former Colorado State Head Coach Steve Fairchild, we were assigned Siemian, to the groans of many. What follows is a 1st place report based on 5 games watched last year, which is an important distinction considering his regression this year. Still, I wasn’t too flattering of Siemian, and hopefully that comes across in a report that I understand is written with all the flair of the NFL Rule-book (coaches don’t need fluff, as I’ve said before). Enjoy…

BEST: Triangle Reads, Hit & Throw, Quick Release, Touch, Athleticism

WORST: Intermediate/Deep Accuracy, Mechanics Throwing Left, Recognizing Blitzes

SCOUTING REPORT

2nd year Right-Handed QB with 1 year starting experience that has started 14 of 15 career games and started 14 of 14 games in 2016. 2nd year under HC Gary Kubiak & Rick Dennison’s WCO offense dependent on zone runs, play action roll outs and short, timing route combinations. Ideal physical profile with solid frame and good athletic ability relying on good foot quickness/short area burst.

STRENGTHS
Solid mental processing and decision making to diagnose fronts/coverage/leverage pre-snap, increasingly trusted with run/pass audibles and makes sound decisions when flipping run plays or motioning players to create a numbers advantage.

Post-snap will manipulate safeties with eyes, is quick to recognize coverage shifts and takes care of the ball by dropping to check-downs. Solid play speed to pull trigger on deep sideline throws when presented with cover 1 and when diagnosing underneath coverage on short passing concepts.

Quick, smooth release and capable of making accurate short throws, including from a 3/4 release when under pressure. Accuracy and velocity enhance when throwing short/intermediate to MOF/right from a solid base at the top of drop (hit and throw), especially to stationary targets, and displayed improved deep ball accuracy throughout season.

Throws very catchable ball with good touch; flashes good trajectory to drop deep throws in the bucket and consistently arcs intermediate throws over underneath defenders.

Solid play strength to shake arm tackles from defensive linemen and absorb contact with good ball security.

Good ability to extend plays with short area quickness to get to space quickly on roll outs, consistently outruns defensive linemen to the edge, and will escape to pick up chunk yards when pocket breaks down.

Good competitive toughness to play with significant non-throwing shoulder injury and continued to sacrifice himself to hits while throwing chiefly in key situations.

WEAKNESSES

Pre-snap is occasionally confounded by late rolling safeties to the intermediate sideline/MOF and struggles to identify blitzes & voids left by them to make proper protection changes & sight adjustments. Adequate poise; consistently drops eyes against interior push and will run instead of climbing the pocket against edge pressure.

Marginal mechanics; frequently opens hips too wide and steps in the bucket with back foot when throwing to left, causing wide left misses. Struggles when resetting feet to recover strong base from which to throw to all areas and occasionally ended with feet parallel to LOS when pressured.

Marginal arm strength to fit throws in tight intermediate/deep windows, consistently under-throws open receivers deep and struggles to make all-arm throws with velocity when feet are not set.

Marginal accuracy; frequently unable to throw receivers open, often throws behind moving targets, occasionally struggles to throw on the run to left/right, and consistently sails intermediate passes to sidelines/MOF.

SUMMARY

Overall, a backup QB that you can win with as a spot starter relying on a quick release, execution of short passing concepts, and responsible decision making. Possesses limited arm strength and intermediate/deep accuracy to consistently push ball downfield.

Michael is an NFL Draft enthusiast, aspiring scout, and grandson of longtime East Stroudsburg (Pa.) HS football coach John P. Kist. He hosts Locked On Eagles and writes for Inside the Pylon & Breaking Football.

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